Development of a Warning System for Predicting the Risk of Formation of Intense Atmospheric Vortices of Various Spatial and Temporal Scales (Water Tornadoes, Polar Mesocyclones) Over the Seas of the Arctic and Middle Latitudes

Development of a Warning System for Predicting the Risk of Formation of Intense Atmospheric Vortices of Various Spatial and Temporal Scales (Water Tornadoes, Polar Mesocyclones) Over the Seas of the Arctic and Middle Latitudes

Development of a Warning System for Predicting the Risk of Formation of Intense Atmospheric Vortices of Various Spatial and Temporal Scales (Water Tornadoes, Polar Mesocyclones) Over the Seas of the Arctic and Middle Latitudes 1500 694 Ocean Decade

牵头机构:

Research and Production Association “Typhoon” (RPA “Typhoon”)

This effort plan to develop an automated system to forecast the risk of formation of intense atmospheric vortices – waterspout over the seas of middle latitudes and polar cyclones over the seas of Arctic latitudes and delivering this information to consumers.

该系统将基于地面雷达和卫星监测数据,以及基于数值天气预报模型的计算结果。将开发适当的方法来预测形成强烈大气涡旋的风险,同时考虑到其在所考虑的水域内产生的区域特征。这些方法将基于适应性算法,用于数据汇总和随后计算形成旋涡的风险区。

开始日期:2022年1月1日
结束日期:2029年12月31日

Contact
Dr. Olga Kalmykova: kov@feerc.ru

challenges: Increase community resilience to ocean hazards
ocean_basins: Arctic Ocean, North Atlantic Ocean
type_of_action: Project

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